← Decisions
stockout riskawaiting approvalCASE-VB-FAI-01-VB-SB-0046
Cherry 1.5L PET 146 projected to stock out at ABC Distribution Faisalabad Territory 1 in 8 days
Selling faster than replenishment can arrive — stock will run out first.
PKR 28,310
margin at risk
Confidence
62%
Urgency
61%
Approver
Regional Operations Director
Data
Partly stale
Likely explanation
- Recent sales are running ahead of the replenishment cycle70% confidence · 100% of the gap
Options
What each choice is worth, including doing nothing.
Transfer 3453 units from ABC Distribution Faisalabad Territory 2recommendedPKR 28,310
cost PKR 41,000 · 62% confidence · 48h to execute
Expedite the outstanding supplier orderPKR 21,570
cost PKR 61,000 · 54% confidence · 96h to execute
Do nothing-PKR 28,310
cost PKR 0 · 90% confidence · 0h to execute
Decision
Genaima recommends that you Transfer 3453 units from ABC Distribution Faisalabad Territory 2.
Unsure flags this for a second look — the case stays open.
Evidence
- 115.07 units/day over 28 days
- 937 on hand, 433 inbound
- 0 overdue purchase order(s)
Constraints checked
- ✓source must retain 28 days of cover
- ✓must arrive within 8 days
Value trail
- identifiedPKR 28,310
How this is calculated
Value trail — identifiedFormulaΣ value_ledger.amount_paisa where stage = 'identified' and value_type = 'protected_margin', reconciled row-by-row against decision_case.doc.exposure.marginAtRiskPaisa
Inputs- value_ledger.amount_paisa
- PKR 28,310
- decision_case.doc.exposure.marginAtRiskPaisa
- PKR 28,310
Value on this screenPKR 28,310Sourcesvalue_ledgerdecision_case
Activity
Full history (5)
- detected → validating · system:orchestratorevidence accepted
- validating → investigating · system:orchestratorevidence accepted
- investigating → planning · system:orchestratorevidence accepted
- planning → critiquing · system:orchestratorConfidence in this recommendation is 62%, and policy requires at least 80%.
- critiquing → awaiting_approval · system:orchestratorConfidence in this recommendation is 62%, and policy requires at least 80%.